Last week, I pointed out how Grant Wahl at SI.com thought Pitt had the potential to be make a deep run in the NCAA (the story came out the same day that Pitt lost to WVU). In his mailbag this week, he talks about Pitt once more. Essentially, he feels our confusion.
What is Pittsburgh’s problem against RPI teams ranked between 50 and 100? The Panthers were supposed to be better than this.
No team in the nation has left me more flummoxed than Pittsburgh. There’s obviously a ton of talent there, and winning on the road at UConn, Syracuse and Boston College (by 22!) is a remarkable achievement. So too, in a negative way, is losing at home to West Virginia, Georgetown and Bucknell. It may be nothing more complicated than a motivation issue, which appears to be what has kept Chris Taft from meeting high expectations all season long. Bottom line: If I were a team seeded anywhere from 10 to 12 in the NCAA tournament, I wouldn’t mind seeing the Panthers in a first-round matchup. But if they can make it to the second weekend, you never know what might happen.
Picking Pitt in the brackets is always a tough thing to separate my natural biases from rational thought. This time it could be even worse. Speaking of the RPI, it was known that the RPI formula would be tweaked to encourage more road games. The extent of the tweaking, though, was astounding. Most think they went a little too far Consider what Pitt’s RPI would look like if it had been under last year’s formula.
Present RPI ——– Old RPI Formula
46 ———————- 29
At least Pitt is still going. There is a table with other teams that are in much deeper trouble.
Meanwhile, we aren’t even to the conference tournaments, and you can’t stop people from continually looking to next year in the Big East.
Bottom line: some big-name schools (and their big-name coaches) are probably going to be dealing with worse records than they’re accustomed to. They’ll simply have to hope that the 2006 NCAA Tournament selection committee keeps that in mind, and is prepared to offer an unprecedented number of bids to what could be a league of unprecedented power.
“I think nine teams definitely would be a possibility,” said Louisville coach Rick Pitino. “It changes from year to year, but Connecticut is still going to be great next year, Cincinnati will be very good, Syracuse, Pittsburgh, Villanova — you can keep going down the list.”
The list is long enough that you can forgive the current Big East coaches for not wanting to even go there right now.
“Everyone keeps talking about the Big East next year,” said Pittsburgh’s Jamie Dixon. “The names are great, but I don’t know how it’s going to be better than this year. We don’t have any easy games.”
There will be even fewer next season. Which is why all 16 coaches are curious about how the league schedule will unfold.
The plan calls for each team to have three home-and-home opponents — one likely a long-standing or geographic rival. Television will play a big part in selecting the other two.
…
In addition to those six home-and-home games, teams will then play 10 league opponents once, and will not play two teams at all each year.It’s far from an ideal setup, but no scheduling is going to be ideal in a 16-team conference. Associate commissioner John Paquette said the Big East is committed to that scheduling format for two more years, until the league’s television contracts with ESPN and CBS are up.
“No question, how the schedule is set up will determine how the league unfolds,” Dixon said.
Coaches and athletic directors hoping for a break can send cases of fine wine and offers of free rounds of golf to commissioner Mike Tranghese, care of the Big East office in Providence. Let the lobbying commence.
The unbalanced scheduling, and the fact that the big names in BE basketball are disproportionately also football schools is going to be yet another reason that the BE is heading for a split before 2010.