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October 10, 2006

As usual, Lee drafted the ballot, I made a couple tweaks. Lee’s explanation below, along with some occasional commentary from me in italics especially where I made changes. Give reasons to make changes in the comments and I have time to make changes if found meritorious by tomorrow morning.

Rank Team Delta
1 Ohio State
2 Florida
3 Michigan
4 West Virginia 3
5 Southern Cal 1
6 Texas 2
7 Louisville 3
8 Tennessee 8
9 California 8
10 Clemson 5
11 Notre Dame 1
12 Auburn 7
13 Missouri 11
14 Georgia Tech 4
15 Arkansas 11
16 LSU 7
17 Georgia 6
18 Oklahoma 4
19 Rutgers 2
20 Iowa 1
21 Boston College 5
22 Boise State 2
23 Virginia Tech 2
24 Nebraska 2
25 Oregon 12
Dropped Out: Florida State (#18), Wake Forest (#22), Texas Tech (#23).

1. Ohio State: Just keeps on rolling towards November 18th. This Saturday’s matchup against the schizophrenic Spartans isn’t scary anymore, as this is not the same MSU that crushed Pitt in the second half. Fire John L. Smith now.

2. Florida: The quality of the Gators’ wins puts them slightly ahead of Michigan. Now admittedly, Auburn was sorely overrated. But still, who has Michigan really beaten besides Notre Dame? Leak and Tebow are scary-good as a combo.

3. Michigan: Probably the most well rounded team in the country. This Saturday will be dangerous, and the crowd will be loud. But Michigan just matches up too well against Penn State on paper, even without Manningham. Penn State can’t cover tight ends, and Michigan loves isolating and throwing to its TE’s. Incidentally, it’s nice to see Penn State shut down Paternoville, one of the few unique, excitement-generating traditions of Beaver Stadium, right before the big home game against Michigan. Couldn’t that have waited a few weeks? Idiots.

4. WVU: Beyond beating Louisville, all the Hoopies have to do is root for Florida to lose somehow. Ohio State and Michigan won’t both win out, obviously. The secondary looked very suspect again against Mississippi State, and teams like Florida, Ohio State, or Michigan could easily throw on the Mountaineers. But they’d have to keep up with that offense…

5. USC: I am SO not impressed by the Trojans right now. In fact, I’d rank Texas ahead of these slackers if I thought Chas would let me get away with it. Last Saturday, the best team in the PAC-10 was California, by far.

[I actually wouldn’t have much of a problem with it. USC has not looked good the last couple of weeks.]

6. Texas: Big win, in a big way. Still hanging around the national championship race. Nice to see Mack Brown get that Sooner monkey off of his back. Colt McCoy is a year or two away from becoming a force to reckon with.

7. Louisville: For the second week in a row, a Big East power played a Friday night game and looked less than impressive (RU was last). Last week, I put Louisville ahead of WVU. But not now. Not after a school that I never heard of before (and why not Central Tennessee State instead of Middle Tennessee State?) gave the Cardinals all they wanted for a half. This team maybe misses Brian Brohm more than I had thought. Unless he gets healthy, back, and back into a rhythm again before the Hoopies come calling, WVU wins the Big East.

8. Tennessee: Boy, that one-point loss to Florida is looking bigger and bigger these days, huh? Coulda been a contender… Either way, huge win against Georgia.

9. California: Chas, Chas, Chas… Hey, don’t worry about it. All self-appointed prognosticators are wrong sometimes, especially regarding Cal. Just ask Corso. Although I may have been correct in thinking that Oregon was sorely overrated, at least I didn’t pick the Bears to win it all. Berkeley looked like PAC-10 champions on Saturday. It’s too bad they don’t play USC sooner.

[For the record, I don’t believe I picked Oregon to win the nationial championship. I just thought they were the likely/darkhorse BCS bid from the PAC-10. Suffice to say, I was wrong.

I’m kind of surprised Lee put Cal this high. I would have thought the unis they wore — actually making Oregon look conservative — would have cost them a few spots.]

10. Clemson: Phil Fulmer at least has some company in regretting a one-point loss to an inferior opponent that’s keeping someone out of the national championship hunt. OK, so they weren’t that impressive against I-don’t-care-if-you’re-undefeated-you’re-still-Wake-Freakin’-Forest. But I can’t put Notre Dame in the top ten with their defense, and this was the best alternative.

11. Notre Dame: Grow a defense. Now. The Irish should easily win the rest of their games, but then, just as guaranteed as the changing of the seasons, they’ll get blown out in their bowl game. Why? Yeah. No defense.

12. Auburn: (CHOKE!)

No, Arkansas was not that good. You were that bad. Nice tackling. You know who really needs a playoff system, Tuberville? Teams with one loss.

13. Missouri: Sneaking into my top 15. And they should stay there for at least two more weeks, with only Texas A&M and Kansas State on the schedule. Beating Oklahoma and Nebraska, the only two real teams left on their schedule, is well within reach — as is the Big XII North championship.

[Um, okay.]

14. Georgia Tech: Dropped out of my top ten after struggling mightily against hapless Maryland. Now, the Wreck has two weeks to prepare for a Clemson game that could decide the ACC.

15. Arkansas: I just can’t convince myself that these guys are all that good — hey, I saw that USC massacre. But they sure looked good against Auburn on Saturday.

16. LSU: Nice defense. Whatever happened to that once-genius Bo Pelini? Thank God Pitt didn’t hire him.

[I have to say I’m leaning towards flipping 15 and 16. If Florida is the #2 team, how hard do you ding a team that lost to them on the road? Plus, I think that’s just too high for Arkansas for one win, albeit a really big win.]

17. Iowa: Can’t get past third place in the Big Ten no matter how hard they try. Too much talent in Columbus and Ann Arbor. Maybe too much talent here in State College too.

[I dropped Iowa a few more spots. They just weren’t that impressive to me this year.]

18. Georgia: (HACK!)

19. Rutgers: I moved the Knights up mostly because other teams lost. That near-loss to USF last Friday night still haunts me. But a great rushing attach still makes RU a legitimate top 25 team. Don’t look past Navy to Pitt. Of course, does anybody look past anybody else for Pitt?

20. Oklahoma: Physically dominated. But Peterson still looked good.
[Oklahoma is a little better then this.]

21. Boston College: A solid team… for the ACC…

22. Boise State: Only because they’re 6-0. Not because they’ve played anybody or impressed me all that much.

23. Virginia Tech: Coming off a bye after an ass-kicking by Georgia Tech, what else can I do but still think you suck?

24. Nebraska: Putting along. The November 4th game against my Tigers will decide who gets mauled by Texas in the Big XII Championship game.

25. Pitt: OK, who else could I realistically put here? Penn State? (Overtime against Minnesota? And I never want to hear about the Lions getting screwed by the Big Ten officials again.) Oregon? (Chas?) FSU? (HACK!) Maybe Wisconsin, but hey, I’m allowed to be a homer occasionally. Hey, the team looked great on the road… admittedly against mere Syracuse…

[Yes, I put Oregon here in place of Pitt. I would love to leave Pitt in, but I also can’t get that showing against MSU out of my head. Too big a question on defense against the option. Besides if you are going to shoot Cal up that high for a home win, then presumably it’s for beating a quality opponent. ]





So, beating Murray St, Ole Miss, New Mexico, Ohio, Colorado, and Texas Tech is good enough to be the 13th best team in the country? (Only two of which were on the road, by the way.)

That’s CRAZY.

There’s no way that Mizzou is better than Georgia Tech or LSU (or probably even Oklahoma for that matter – but that we’ll find out on 10/28). Sorry, that’s just plain ridiculous.

Comment by Aaron 10.10.06 @ 3:27 pm

Allright, Chas, after last night, take out Virginia Tech and put Pitt at 25.

Comment by Lee in State College 10.13.06 @ 8:46 am

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