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January 5, 2006

Into the Numbers, A Little

Filed under: Uncategorized — Chas @ 11:07 am

You have your usual box score, with halftime split along with play by play. Then there is the slightly more detailed information.

For Pitt:

Poss 88.9 Pace Moderate
O-Rating 112.5 D-Rating 109.2 (Eff. Margin +3.4)
eFG% 53.8 PPWS 1.15
A/TO 2.0 TO Rate 16.9% A/B 93.8%
Floor Pct 56.3% FT Prod 46.2

And Notre Dame:

Poss 88.9 Pace Moderate
O-Rating 109.1 D-Rating 112.5 (Eff. Margin -3.4)
eFG% 49.4 PPWS 1.03
A/TO 1.9 TO Rate 11.2% A/B 55.9%
Floor Pct 52.7% FT Prod 18.1

You can find a little more explanation of the what these numbers are here. Both teams played the same pace despite ND shooting 18 more shots, because Pitt literally doubled them up on Free Throws Made and Attempted (ND: 15-23, Pitt 30-46).

Pitt shot a little better than it’s season eFG (before the game 52.5%), while ND was held below its (52.9%).

Overall, Pitt shot a little better than its season average. Here are some individual PPWS (points per weighted shots) from the game.

———- game —season avg.
Pitt: —– 1.15 —– 1.12
Krauser: 1.42 ——- 1.21
Gray: — 1.23 ——- 1.13
Kendall: 1.15 ——- 1.12
Young: – 1.12 ——- 1.27
Fields: – 0.98 ——- 1.24
Ramon: – 1.36 ——- 1.15

Interesting to see that while Young and Fields were vital down to the end, their offense wasn’t nearly as good as it has been. For Fields, despite 11 points, it came on 1-6 shooting and 8-14 on FTs. Fields was vital in ball handling and running the point with Ramon, but it has to be conceded that he struggled with his shot. For Young, the drop-off wasn’t so drastic, and was quite literally that missed slam of his in the game. Make that, and he’s at 1.27.

(Brief aside, it’s another thing to note in the change to Coach Dixon this year, that Young kept playing. Last year, there is no doubt that he would have been pulled and sat for the entire game for blowing the easy basket trying to make it earthshattering. Of course it is also due, in no small part, to Young’s tremendous talent and Pitt’s need.)

Ramon had one of his best days in quite a while. Krauser and Gray were nicely above average.

Now on the subject of Chris Quinn. Where to start. How about how far above average he played. His season PPWS is 1.17. In this game it was 1.46. What immediately stands out about that is how close to Carl Krauser his season and game PPWS mirrored. Obviously, Quinn took more shots in this game and was out there far longer by virtue of not fouling out until the final minute of the 2nd OT, but their production was very similar. Obviously, though, not the same way.

Quinn had an eFG% of 69.6 for the game, well above his season average of 52.7. The rest of the team only had a eFG% of 40%. Unbelievably bad in any definition since the straight FG% for the rest of the team was 35% (21-60) without him. It is just astounding to realize how much he carried that team.





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