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October 12, 2015

Monday-Morning-QB (This is the first article in a weekly series of articles entitled “Monday Morning Quarterback”.   I will try to post them two days after the football games are played so as to have our wilder emotions under control by then. It will be my take on the positives and the negatives we saw happen and a chance for commenters to agree or disagree and to add their own thoughts.) 

I told Chas I’ll try to keep the MMQB articles posted.

Four wins and one loss, with those wins including our first two ACC conference games is nothing to sneeze at and is a real ‘feel good’ generator for almost ever Pitt fan save a few disgruntled ones.

We held on, and that is becoming a mantra that isn’t real positive in itself, to win Saturday’s game against the University of Virginia at Heinz Field in beautiful Pittsburgh, PA.

Before getting into the game specifics let’s acknowledge something that is different with this season. There is a positive and growing sentiment among the Pitt football program, the university, the fans and, surprisingly, the local media, that sets this year, with this brand new staff, apart from the others seasons we have slogged through over the last five years.

What separates this year from all the other recent years is the solid belief that something good is not ‘about to happen’ but actually is.  Yes there are areas of the team and coaching that have to grow and mature.  I think we’ll all agree that even without Conner in the backfield our offense has to better come together and play more consistently.

Our defense is exciting and, for the most part very effective, but their good works seem to come in come in fits and starts also. We stack up very well nationally with our defensive statistics: 6th in rushing defense; 7th in total defense; 12th in passing efficiency defense; 27th in passing yards allowed and then we drop to 39th in scoring defense giving up 20.6 ppg.

Before anyone looks at that 39th tag for scoring consider this.  Last season we gave up a 26.3 ppg and ended up 58th nationally.

POSITIVES:

Our defense is certainly the difference maker when it comes to winning games this season.  For one thing we aren’t engaging in ‘shoot-out’ games this season like we had in 2014.  Last year four of our seven losses had scores like this: 51-48 (Duke), 40-35 (NC), 56-28 (GT) and 35-34 (Houston).  In future games if we score 48, 35, 28 and 35 points almost certainly our current defense will give us wins.

The offense is starting to show the ability to diversify, specifically our passing among the primary players in the receiving corps. Take a look at this table which lists how our QBs have distributed the ball to the Tight Ends  this game, thus far in 2015 and through all of 2014:

Time Period 

Scott Orndoff

J. P. Holtz

Virginia Game  2- 63, 31.5 ypc, 1 TD,    long – 37  2- 26, 18.0 ypc, 0 TDs, long – 28
2015 after 5 games  6-167, 27.8 ypc, 3 TDs,  long -55  9-138, 15.3 ypc, 2 TDs, long – 28
2104 total after 5 games  1-2,    6.0 ypc,  1 TD,   long – 9  4-47, 9.5 ypc, 0 TDs, long – 17

Along with that, our WR opposite Boyd, Dontez Ford is starting to come into his own.  Saturday he had 3 receptions for 63 yds which is a fine 21 ypc. So far this season he’s had 7 catches for 143 yards at a 20.4 ypc clip.  Contrast that with our #2 WR of 2014 at the same point in the season, Manasseh Garner, who had 9 catches for 107 yards at an 11.8 ypc.

That is a result having a QB who is seeing and using the whole field and can hit his 2nd and 3rd progression receivers on a regular basis. If anyone is wondering where Tyler Boyd’s catches and yardage has gone this season all you have to do is look at what those other three receivers mentioned have done so far as opposed to last season:

 5 games in Orndoff Holtz Garner/Ford Boyd
2014 1-2-1 TD 4-47 9-107   0-0 27-365-4
2015 6-167 9-138 0-0       7-143 33-328-2
(+) (-) (+) 5 – 165 (+) 5 – (+) 91 (-)2  – (+) 36 (+) 5  (-) 37 & 2 TD

We also have to realize that Boyd was out for the opener so he’s played only four games this year vice five last.  Looking at all that and factoring that missed game in, Boyd’s numbers are not all that different after five games.  While we fans all want Tyler Boyd to get bigger numbers than last season to position himself for the NFL draft,  it is a team game and this season’s passing game has spread the ball out well enough to put up better results with one more win under its belt…which is what really matters.

NEGATIVES:

We are still giving up big plays on defense.  Against VA we allowed big gainers on rushing with a 72 yard run that led to their first three points.  In the passing game we gave up two 32 yard plays, one for a TD and the other on a 4th & 23 conversion on Virginia’s last drive.  The problem with this habit is that one or two big plays can completely negate a fine defensive showing and cause us to lose the game. Luckily that didn’t happen against Virginia, but in the 4th quarter when they completed that 4th & 23 down with a long pass you were worried… yes you were.

The offense gave up points to the opponent. Nate Peterman’s fumble deep in Virginia’s red zone was taken in for a TD which closed our 2nd quarter lead from a comfortable 17-3 to 17-10.  Peterman has been very good about not throwing interceptions in his last three games (1) but his error had the same results as a Pick-6 in that it didn’t give us a chance to erase the turnover with stout defense.

But Peterman has been pretty stingy with the INTs over the last few games, save the 1st quarter of the Iowa game (From the Trib):

Peterman said he missed a few reads that could have resulted in bigger numbers on his stat sheet, but he passed for a career-high 222 yards with two touchdowns for the second time this season. He hasn’t thrown an interception since the first quarter of the Iowa game — a stretch of 65 attempts — and he is third in the ACC and 23rd in the nation in passing efficiency (152.0). Passing efficiency is determined through a formula that accounts for completion percentage, yardage, touchdowns and interceptions.

He has a way to go to match Voytik’s single INT over the last six games of last season though – that is a very good achievement.

As I did last week here is a running comparison of the two QBs as the seasons progressed.  I’ll try to do this each game to see if the ‘Peterman Experience” has really taken hold in production.  Oh, I’m wondering if anyone still think Peterman can’t run with the ball?  Not on CV’s level but not too far below that either.

QB / Record Quarters Played Pass Stats  Comp % Yds TD INT YPA YPC Long QB Rating
Voytik 3-2 16 48-79 60.8 534 5 3 6.7 11.1 41 133.5
Peterman 4-1 16 60-90 66.7 760 6 3 8.4 12.7 42 152.9

Note: Scott Orndoff is fast enough and has good enough hands to play the Mike Shanahan role if needed at WR.

We stand at 4-1 now and that is something that Pitt football hasn’t done since 2009. Not a bad way to start the season, especially with a new staff and some new starters, at all.  On to Georgia Tech in Atlanta next week.

 





You can go to Carmody’s and order turtle soup … and make it snappy

Comment by wbb 10.12.15 @ 7:03 pm

Yeah, emel – statistics only work for other people. Besides, what are you doing with more of the CV stuff? Were you on a Blather Sabbatical over the weekend? Don’t you know nobody wants any more CV? He’s so yesterday.

Everybody’s tired of your schtick. And your statistics – oy vey! CV lost “it” over the winter. His two gratuitous plays per game destroys NP’s rhythm. He can’t run any more – see his last 3 attempts….zip, zilch, and Nada. It’s time for him to ride the pine, and concentrate on his coaching career. So, how ’bout doing us all a favor, and knock it off! We’ll call if we need him.

Comment by Savannah Panther 10.12.15 @ 7:09 pm

I agree with dhuff on how to defend GT … you have to penetrate the LOS and disrupt their flow. Last year instead, we had the LBs 5 yards back from LOS and played very passive … and it showed

Comment by wbb 10.12.15 @ 7:14 pm

Wbb, Carmody’s is closed now. Plans are to turn it into a North Park Lounge. Next to it, a Day’s Inn is being built. Across the road will be a Sheetz and a Microtel Hotel. Times they are a changin’.

Comment by Annie 10.12.15 @ 7:31 pm

~ Savannah

Yea I forgot I wasn’t suppose to post any more stats showing CV in good lite. My bad. Wasn’t going to until…..i was like reading Read’s ‘official’ stats. I’m like wtf. Something amiss here. 16 quarters don’t equal 5 games. Oh well, like I posted before, I actually passed advanced Math courses. Again my bad.

I’ll fall in line…I promise.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 7:34 pm

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 7:37 pm

The ‘Stache used to say, you’ve got to Stop the fullback FIRST, every snap. He lost to Navy (Paul Johnson’s previous coaching stop) first time, and beat him the next time. A friend of mine who played DE at Georgia, emphasized the same thing.

I think that parallels what wbb said, above. The DL has got to get penetration every snap.

Comment by Savannah Panther 10.12.15 @ 7:43 pm

Carmody’s is closed 🙁

All North Hill’s needs is another large sportsbar with sportsbar food.

Oh well, don’t think I’ll be going anytime soon.

Place did have good Turtle Soup and Frogs Legs.
Ribbet !

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 7:45 pm

Emel,
Do those QB rushing stats include sacks? Distorting stats again?

Comment by Barvo 10.12.15 @ 8:03 pm

@ Doc – regarding James Connor’s return to Pitt FB. My prediction is vs UNC. Big game on national TV – both could be at the top of the Coastal Div. it’s a home game on turf he knows well.

GT & Cuse are too soon and the team as it currently is set up should be able to win both without “the Beast”. But, this teams real meat of the schedule could use our other All-American back to show the way.

That would be five regular season games, one ACC championship game and a higher tier bowl game. That’s seven games to average 150 per game and collect 14 TD’s total. Guaranteed a high draft position.

Dreamin and sipping my Kool-aid – just got home from a great Homecoming weekend! Enjoyed a nice walk through the city yesterday afternoon and dinner at Ditka’s last night.

Wreck Tech!

HTP!

Comment by Erie Express 10.12.15 @ 8:12 pm

I’m more tired of stupid gratuitous and untrue trashing of a kid who doesn’t deserve it than I ever will be of emel sticking up for him. Keep it up emel.

Nate is still going to lead this team to at least as many and probably 1-2 more wins than year than Chad would have.

Also saying Peterman is not too far off from chad his feet is the funniest joke in Pitt football since people thought not getting morelli was the biggest disaster EVAR. Peterman is slooooow. One nice run doesn’t change that. He’s not supposed to be running so it really is almost meaningless. But thats the kind of extremely ill-thought remark made to once again minimize Chad’s abilities that are silly and unnecessary. Peterman not too far off running from voytik. Made me grin a little thanks for that Reed.

Comment by Deepelemblues 10.12.15 @ 8:24 pm

~ Barvo

They include any and all rushing attempts.
Sacks included.

I’m not the one distorting stats. Just posting them.

Now go crawl back under your rock !

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 8:33 pm

Ok Emel here’s my feeling on the CV vs NP debate. I think it’s pretty obvious that Chad is four times better than Nate, it’s all about the numbers! Wink.

Comment by Dr. Tom 10.12.15 @ 8:37 pm

Just watched the replay of Peterman’s long run that was called back in the 4th qtr – Biz did not hold. Ref made up the holding call.

Peterman lost control of the O after that play. We went no where from that point in the game with 10 minutes on the clock.

Comment by Erie Express 10.12.15 @ 8:41 pm

Wow ..4 times better. Doc you are real hoot.

Better stick with Dentistry. 🙂

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 8:43 pm

In keeping with the positive nature of this thread – we eventually won the game…even though our O disappeared with ten minutes on the clock.

On to wreck GTech.

Comment by Erie Express 10.12.15 @ 8:44 pm

Switching back and forth between the Steelers and Pitt replay.

The hold by Bisno was a killer, not needed, then followed by a bad snap, and uncalled personal foul when the defender runs into a defenseless Peterman on his knees. Could have taken both knees out. Then a delay of game. Talk about unforced errors.

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 8:49 pm

Not missing much with Stillers..gc

Vick is …shall we say….not very good. Didn’t realize he’s a career 56 % completion % which is terrible for NFL

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 8:50 pm

Emel, my wife says Peterman is better. And I have learned not to disagree with her. Lol

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 8:52 pm

oh yea Happy Columbus Day to everyone !!

(unless you’re an Indian (feathers not dots) )

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 8:56 pm

Yeah, but not many back-ups could do much with 7 weeks of prep. Big Ben the heart and soul of these Steelers. Much worse than Pitt losing Conner.

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 8:57 pm

Vick probably the most exciting college QB ever. Fun to watch except when playing us?

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 8:58 pm

They should have called up Steve Bono. ha

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:00 pm

Coach knows defense/how to stop GT…If defense can create a couple of turnovers and offense can score 25 to 28 and win time of possession,, we have a good chance to win…H2P!!!

Comment by Jerry S. 10.12.15 @ 9:06 pm

SO, LET IT BEGIN!!!!!!

Spurrier retired effective immediately from South Carolina,

Mark Dantonio, Michigan State head coach is an
alum of………c’mon one guess,

yep, South Carolina!!!!!!

If you think too hard, a Pitt fan could connect the easy dots and want to vomit on the spot!!!

Comment by Dan 10.12.15 @ 9:06 pm

Two things watching the replay. This is a game we lose the last four years. I hate these ACC announcers. One whining to the very end that there should have been interference on the last play. At least the other one changed his opinion after seeing the replay.

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 9:09 pm

Oh no…..you got to be kidding me Dan-o.

That’s incredible.

On a positive note, at least we’ll get rid of Chubbs.

Hopefully CV won’t transfer, since he was f*cked around with bigtime.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:09 pm

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:10 pm

Maybe we can hire Joe Rudolph.

Knows the personnel. From Burg area and is up & comer too !

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:11 pm

With Harbaugh at Michigan, Narduzzi would be nuts to go back.

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 9:11 pm

Of course when Paulie is booted to another job at Wisky…..Rudolph would then get the call.

Come back to UW, you’re alma mater.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:12 pm

This is why it’s always good to hire ppl with allegiance to Pitt.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:14 pm

This is just so crazy.

Mark Dantonio attended the University of South Carolina and earned three letters as a defensive back for Coach Jim Carlen for the Gamecocks 1976-78.[6] He earned a bachelor’s degree in education from South Carolina in 1979.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:16 pm

Does SC want another old guy? Does Dantonio want to start over in the SEC? Certainly no given.

Steelers O line a sieve, shows how valuable Ben’s ability to extend plays is.

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 9:31 pm

Also Ben’s physical strength in shedding tackles

Comment by gc 10.12.15 @ 9:36 pm

Could be the Curse of Cornhole rearing it’s Ugly Fat Head. (again)

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 9:40 pm

I don’t see Dantonio going anywhere. Yes, he played at S Carolina, but he and his wife grew up in Ohio and he’s been at MSU in one position or another for 20 years.

At least that’s what I’ll tell myself until he leaves for SC.

Comment by dinosaur 71 10.12.15 @ 9:42 pm

Charlie Weis is also an alum of SC. Oy Vey!

Comment by Erie Express 10.12.15 @ 9:50 pm

SEC FB a lot different than B10 FB. Look for a young offense minded coach for SC.

Comment by Frank MD 10.12.15 @ 9:52 pm

~ EE

Why would SC hire a failure like Charlie the Tuna ?

Bielema left Big 10 for SEC. It could happen.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 10:01 pm

And a midwesterner from Ohio, that being Dr. Lou….went to become HC at S. Carolina as well.
So this isn’t the 1960’s when it was the Old South.
Half the people in Charlotte are from the North now.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 10:04 pm

Emel – it was a sarcastic comment. But also factual that Charlie is an alumni. He is damaged goods as a HC –

Comment by Erie Express 10.12.15 @ 10:07 pm

And Weis would also be the second ND retread to be picked up by SC. Pound for pound he would be a better deal than Dantonio.

Comment by dinosaur 71 10.12.15 @ 10:12 pm

AR under Bielema 2-4 – not good. Lost to Toledo

Comment by Frank MD 10.12.15 @ 10:13 pm

How about a guy like Bobby Petrino? Good fit for the SEC – been there and had success.

I think Dantonio finishes his career at MSU.

I hope Dantonio finishes his career at MSU.

I want Dantonio to finish his career at MSU.

Comment by Erie Express 10.12.15 @ 10:14 pm

Petrino might like S. Carolina.

No helmet laws for motorcycles.

link to static01.nyt.com

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 10:16 pm

Quote from Dantonio after his contract was renewed in 2011:
“The university has certainly made a commitment to provide all of the necessary tools to continue to build and sustain a championship-caliber program, and I’ve made a long-term commitment to be the head coach at Michigan State,” Dantonio said in a prepared statement. “This new contract expresses the loyalty that I have to our current student-athletes and their families and sends a clear message to current and future recruits that I will be their head coach at Michigan State. It also lets Spartan Nation know that I deeply appreciate their loyal support and that I’m here for the long haul.”

Link to the article: link to espn.go.com

Comment by dinosaur 71 10.12.15 @ 10:21 pm

2011, long time ago.

these guys words and promises are about as good as politicians.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 10:25 pm

wow what an incredible finish, haven’t seen one that good for awhile.

Steeler Nation on full display. That was like a Home Game.

Comment by Emel 10.12.15 @ 10:41 pm

Wow Steelers!

Comment by Upittbaseball 10.12.15 @ 10:42 pm

Emel – Back to the coaching carousel. I wouldn’t leave if this wasn’t a place near and dear to my heart. Man that feeling with 80k screaming fans and an actual logo on the 50 yd line and on campus. Haha. D’antonio is to old to do anything. Narduzzi if he does good at Pitt takes the Mich St. Job in 2 years. Can’t see D’antonio coaching more than 2 more years. Especially with Harbaugh kicking his teeth in over next 2-5 years.

Comment by Upittbaseball 10.12.15 @ 10:58 pm

Emel, thanks for reminding us all that you love Chad. We almost forgot during that 10 minute break from you telling us. Look forward to hearing it again in 2
Minutes! LOL!
LETS GO PITT…..er, I mean LETS GO CHAD!!!!

Comment by pittman4ever 10.13.15 @ 12:26 am

Mike Vick comes through.

Comment by gc 10.13.15 @ 5:33 am

Word in South Carolina is that Fraud & Penni have family here.

It’s been his dream to coach in the $EC.

Besides, it’s USC (without the cool ocean breezes).

Comment by PITT-cocks Fan 10.13.15 @ 6:24 am

—Watching the replay of the Pitt-UVA game, and being reminded of all the wide open UVA receivers, was really scary. This was the biggest “Negative” to me.

—Even though we are 4 and 1, we need to keep in mind that we have flaws — and they are many. Good things are coming but we are bound to have some stumbles along the way. Just sayin’.

—Several nice throws by NP. Liked the crossing routes that Orndoff and TB ran, which were pretty much like a legal “pick” play. Would like to see more shallow crossing routes too.

—When it’s 3rd and 4 or so, why aren’t we throwing short passes DOWN the field to the TEs instead of those maddening 20-yard ACROSS the field passes which gain 2 yards… Coach Chaney should go and watch Heath Miller’s routes during Steeler practice…

Go Pitt.

Comment by MajorMajors 10.13.15 @ 4:31 pm

Forgot to say – thanks for the article REED!

PS: Is anyone else kind of shocked when you hear after the games that Jordan Whitehead had 10 or 12 tackles? He seems to be doing this kind of quietly. He now has 41 tackles over 5 games, where MLB Galambos is second on the team at 31 tackles. Pretty amazing stats for a true frosh. And a lot better than sitting the bench somewhere else. 🙂

Go Pitt.

Comment by MajorMajors 10.13.15 @ 4:38 pm

Whitehead has at least 5 tackles on the edge that saved touchdowns.

He is a player for sure!

I look for him to be the difference maker on D this week for which George Tech has no Option.

Comment by Altoona_Josh 10.16.15 @ 7:51 am

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