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September 11, 2014

Looking Ahead

Filed under: ACC,Chryst,Football,Opponent(s) — Justin @ 10:49 am

Pitt is headed south for a matchup with the Golden Panthers of Florida International and as Chas mentioned earlier, there’s not a lot of important information to discuss. FIU is a team in rough shape; they’re one of the worst teams in FBS and have a true freshman starting at QB. To be blunt, if Pitt isn’t comfortably ahead in the 4th quarter it is cause for concern. The goals for the game are 1) health 2) comfortable win and 3) get backups good in-game experience. Anything beyond that is a bonus. Another statistically great game from James Conner would be a boon to his Heisman whispers.

With that said, it feels a bit prudent to look ahead a little. Pitt’s next two BCS opponents, Iowa and Virginia, have key games this week. Iowa plays in-state rival Iowa State and Virginia faces off against the newest ACC member, Louisville (Louavuhl). Thus far, Iowa appears to be a team that is trending lower than expectations and Virginia is exceeding them.

While Iowa is 2-0, both wins were of the ugly variety. In Week 1, Iowa had a mere one point 4th quarter lead against a mediocre FCS program in Northern Iowa. A late touchdown gave Iowa an eight point victory, but for a BCS team with B1G title game aspirations, that’s not how a season should begin. Iowa followed that up with another ugly win over Ball State, a good MAC program. It took a touchdown with a minute to go for Iowa to pull off the 17-13 win.

Next up for Iowa is middling Iowa State which is coached by former Pitt defensive coordinator Paul Rhoads. The 0-2 Cyclones are struggling right now and Rhoads is on the hot seat. Last year the Cyclones lost after a futile 4th quarter comeback fell short and vengeance would be a good way for Rhoads to save his job. While on paper Iowa is an obvious favorite, rivalry games have a way of ignoring logic. The past three games have all been one score affairs, including one that went into overtime. In fact, Iowa State won in 2011 and 2012.

The key for Iowa will be to get the running game going. After two games, Iowa’s leading rusher has only 53 yards…and that’s their QB. Hawkeye RBs have combined for 50 carries and 181 yards over their first two games. For perspective, Chris James and Rachid Ibrahim have 188 yards on 33 carries. Iowa’s offense is living and dying off of the arm and legs of QB Jake Rudock right now. Rudock is a good QB, but there’s a reason Iowa went 1-3 last season when he threw 30+ attempts. Iowa needs to get the RBs going if they’re going to make a run in the B1G. With subpar QB play from Rudock, Iowa could easily be 0-2 right now. If Iowa State can force some mistakes from Rudock and keep the running game stagnant, Paul Rhoads could deliver a huge blow to Iowa’s psyche the week before the Hawkeyes come to Heinz Field.

For the Cavaliers of Virginia, 2014 has shown glimmers of hope that dead last in the ACC Coastal may not be a forgone conclusion. Against top 10 UCLA, UVA put quite the scare into the Bruins. If not for three– yes three–second quarter defensive touchdowns, the Cavaliers would’ve pulled off an incredible upset. UVA’s defense stifled future NFL QB Brett Hundley and held UCLA’s offense to only seven points. The following week, the Cavaliers had a decisive victory over Richmond, their first victory since the week before last year’s loss to Pitt.

Like last season, UVA has an impressive defense and a lot of questions on offense. There’s still a QB controversy and none of their three RBs who have seen consistent playing time is above 3.7 yards per carry. If UVA wants to build on early season success, the Cavaliers will need to settle on one QB and have even the threat to run the ball with any semblance of consistency. Even with subpar offensive play, their defense has the ability to steal games against superior opponents. While Louisville (Louavuhl) will likely win, UVA has a chance to make another statement that the Cavaliers won’t be a pushover in 2014.





in 08, we lost the opener to Bowling Green and struggled with Buffalo the 2nd game. Iowa had easy an easy time with their 1st opponents, and many were shocked that we were slight favorites, and we beat them.

I would think we beat Iowa but it may not be easy.

Last year, we struggled vs a weak UVa team, They seemed improved and we play at their place.

Comment by wbb 09.11.14 @ 11:48 am

I would like Iowa to win this week (sorry Rhodes) so that Iowa comes to town undefeated, so Pitt can cream them. I’m more nervous about Virginia’s tough D than all of Iowa.

Comment by Caw Miller 09.11.14 @ 1:32 pm

UVA’s defense is solid… they will force chad to win the game…

Comment by Snala the Panther 09.11.14 @ 1:49 pm

I like what Caw is saying. This will be a big game if both Pitt and Iowa are coming into it unbeatened. How Iowa got their neck out from under Ball State’s foot last week, I have no answer. They had the Hawkeyes on the ropes and then just let them get away with the win in the final minutes. Ball State kinda reminded me of a “same old Pitt” performance in that one.

Because Iowa will be carried or buried by their QB’s talents, that is one reason I’m hoping that we use this FIU game to really work intensively on our various blitz packages. Pressuring Rudick into taking sacks and making mistakes spells V I C T O R Y for Pitt next week. But lets not get ahead of ourselves here, CAT FIGHT in two days!

Comment by Dr. Tom 09.11.14 @ 2:29 pm

CAT FIGHT!!! We’ll see this right after kickoff…

link to youtube.com

Comment by Reed 09.11.14 @ 4:45 pm

I said it before the season, and I’ve seen nothing to persuade me otherwise – you can not recruit that well on defense (multiple 5 stars and several 4’s) on defense and not be a challenging opponent. We will need Boyd and the special teams to generate points or severely shorten the field to win at UVA. Iowa is very beatable at home.

Comment by PittHW 09.11.14 @ 7:19 pm

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