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February 26, 2009

It Was One Loss

Filed under: Basketball,Players — Chas @ 12:26 pm

Dear god, I think some of the local sportswriters have lost their mind.

The Trib’s John Grupp speaks to a sports psychologist to confirm that being #1 was an impact and effect on the team against Providence.

“It is inevitable,” Dr. Todd Kays said, “that you are going to be aware of it.”

Pitt, which has thrived in the underdog role in recent years, fell at Providence, 81-73, on Tuesday night, one day after being voted as the No. 1 team in the nation.

That means the Panthers are 23-1 this season when someone is ranked ahead of them and 2-2 when they’re the team to beat.

Kays, president of the Athletic Mind Institute in Columbus, Ohio, said the best intentions are overwhelmed by the pressures of being No. 1. There is virtually nothing an athlete can do to neutralize it.

“As much as athletes say they want to stay humble, you can’t help but get exposed to that,” Kays said. “Everyone (is telling them) they are No. 1. On campus, in the newspapers, on the Internet, on ESPN. As much as they try to get away from that, they inevitably can not. … It’s an external factor over which you have no control.”

Doomed. Doomed do you hear me. Then he lets loose with the nugget at the end that he expects Pitt will be much better Saturday night. Geez. I actually think sports psychology can be incredibly helpful and works for individuals. This is just generalities that any armchair analyst would toss out, dressed up with a Ph.d.

Speaking of cliched generalities, how about another article about how Blair needs to stay out of foul trouble.

In Pitt’s three losses this season, sophomore center DeJuan Blair averaged 11.0 points, 8.7 rebounds and 24.3 minutes a game.

Compare that with Blair’s season averages of 15.9 points, 12.9 rebounds and 26.4 minutes.

Blair fouled out in 30 minutes in Tuesday’s 81-73 upset loss at Providence, and he needed only 20 minutes to foul out in a 69-63 loss at Louisville last month. He racked up four fouls in 23 minutes in Pitt’s 67-57 loss at Villanova.

You can rationalize Pitt’s three losses ad infinitum, but even good teams are capable of playing bad games.

If Blair can stay out of foul trouble, there’s no telling how far Pitt can go in the NCAA Tournament. With Blair in the lineup, the Panthers can win it all.

Former sports journalist Dave Heeren has written several books based on his Tendex point-per-minute rating system, and he has scouted for half of the teams in the NBA. He’s the Bill James of basketball.

Heeren ranks Blair as the third-best player in the country, behind Oklahoma sophomore Blake Griffin and Arizona State sophomore James Harden.

“Pittsburgh has a good chance to win the NCAA Tournament,” Heeren said. “The Panthers are very similar to Oklahoma, with one great player and a lot of good complementary players. However, Blair is going to have to start playing big minutes down the stretch. If Blair averaged 32 minutes, as Griffin has been doing, he’d be averaging 20 points and 16 rebounds per game, with more than seven offensive boards.

“Do I think Blair is as good as Griffin? Griffin is the target of every defense, plays many more minutes than Blair, has a better handle and more shooting range. Even so, Blair is a heck of a rebounder, should be right up there with Griffin and Harden. It’s hard to deny Blair should be No. 3 behind these two.”

Really what that says is that it isn’t the minutes Blair plays in a game, it’s the impact while he is in there. Against Providence, he played poorly. Five turnovers, with three of them coming early in the game and creating visible frustration that took him completely out of his game.

To repeat, he played 30 minutes in the game. He had only 1 foul in the first half. That first foul came in frustration and led Dixon to yank him for a bit to try and settle him. Blair played a bad game. It wasn’t fouls, it wasn’t the officiating. It was Blair being completely unfocused. The most disturbing sight came when he went for a shot fakes by Kale out on the perimeter. Kale has attempted only three 3s this season and missed them all. Yet, Blair jumped. As a player would if it was Blair, you let them take that shot if they dare. If he makes it, so be it, but you take that chance rather than give him a passing lane or simply an easy move to the basket.

Blair, simply put, had a lousy game and let himself get frustrated by it. The cheap fouls (and yes the non-contact foul) happen (just ask Hasheem Thabeet and Jim Calhoun about that 4th foul).  Of course teams are going to try and go at Blair to draw fouls. Some of that is on Blair to be in better defensive position, and some is on his teammates to do a better job of keeping attacking guards and forwards from getting past them to go right into Blair.

The latter is very important. Just look at UConn a bit. Thabeet doesn’t get in foul trouble because he does take good positions and the UConn perimeter defenders don’t let the attackers get right past them. They funnel them and keep them from getting at a bad angle on Thabeet most of the time.

To DeJuan Blair’s credit, he seems to be acknowledging that his own play in the game was a big problem.

“I learned that if you’re selfish and don’t play defense and don’t play hard, then you’ll [lose],” sophomore center DeJuan Blair said.

The 81-73 setback was unlike the first two losses of the season at Louisville and Villanova. Pitt played well in those two games and led before foul trouble forced the Panthers to play in a different manner.

Pitt never had a lead against Providence. For the first time this season there were no easy excuses to explain away the outcome. Foul trouble had nothing to do with Pitt trailing by 18 points at halftime. The officials had nothing to do with Providence easily solving Pitt’s defense or the Panthers’ carelessness on offense that led to 18 uncharacteristic turnovers.

Riding high after ascending to No. 1 in the polls for the second time this season, the Panthers were delivered a wake-up call from the Friars. A loud and authoritative wake-up call.

“Hopefully, this is the loss we needed going into March,” Blair said.

From start to finish it was a thorough beating, and the only finger-pointing by the Panthers afterward was inward.

“We didn’t play well and they did,” Pitt coach Jamie Dixon said. “As I told our guys, the score was very indicative of that. We got beat. It was on us. We take responsibility.”

Just regroup and get ready to take some frustration out on the Pirates





Good comments by Dejuan. I hope that he came to that conclusion himself, as opposed to repeating what coaches might have said to him. When I read last week that he was reading the NBA scouting reports, I started to get concerned. Perhaps we sometimes forget that, though he may be a man-beast freak of nature, he is still only 19 years old.

Comment by SilverPanther in NYC 02.26.09 @ 2:20 pm

It’s not like we lost to DePaul for gosh sakes! This team was 16-11 and, in almost any other conference, that probably translates into 21-7. We had a bad game, an off night, we shit the bed, whatever. I’m glad it happened now when there lives another day and game ahead as opposed to in mid-March when, even though the sun will still come up the next day, it’s going to sting your eyes a bit more because of all the tears if and when we lose…..

Comment by Bobby 02.26.09 @ 3:32 pm

I just hope that the players don’t start jumping off the cathedral!!

Comment by w bill 02.26.09 @ 3:37 pm

I completely agree with Bobby. Providence came out and played like their hair was on fire. Any team would have had difficulty matching their intensity. A team can play well and execute through no fault of the losing team. Pitt never gave up and lost when another TEAM played a complete game. UNC lost when another PLAYER (Grevious Vazquez) played a complete game. Going on the road is never easy, and its only one loss. I’m amazed that we were only down 5 with a minute left more so than that we lost. Everything that could go wrong did, and everything that could go right for Providence did, and it was still a two posession game with a minute left.

Comment by Chris 02.26.09 @ 3:54 pm

I agree that the loss to PC isn’t a Chicken Little moment, but you have to be a bit concerned about how we were completely outclassed in the first 20 minutes by a struggling Friar club (2-5 in their last seven heading into the game). We committed just about every Cardinal sin in the game of basketball — repeatedly. Literally handing the game to PC.
I can deal with errors of commission. The errors of omission are what bother me most. The complete regression to Y-League basketball was frankly frightening.
I’m happy we didn’t fold and managed to fight back and make a game of it. However, we should never have been in that position. There’s a difference between playing poorly and playing dumb.
We saw what happened when we played dumb Tuesday night. We haven’t seen that from a Pitt team for some time and I’m hopeful that we won’t see it again soon.

Comment by Dave in Orlando 02.26.09 @ 4:26 pm

not really concerned at all every top team in the country has a “terrible” loss at this point…Pitt is a very very very good team…losses happen in games when you overlook teams, and thats what they did….this is a good team and once they get in postseason, I don’t think will be looking past anyone. It’s a good lesson.

Comment by Yinzer 02.26.09 @ 5:29 pm

I’m in agreement that you can’t over-react to the loss.

One thing that bothers me, though, is that Pitt is 5-3 on the road since the league started and one of those wins was a tough game at Rutgers. Not exactly stellar away from the Pete.

Out of those 5 wins, only a couple are impressive — UConn, obviously, and WVU. (The G-town win doesn’t count anymore knowing what we now know about that team.)

Two observations about the road record:

*I think the hoop looks big at the Pete for guys like Wanamaker, Brown and Dixon……..and the same basket looks like a teacup for those guys on the road, and that scares me. Those guys will have to play with more confidence than they showed at the Donut Center for Pitt to get past the Sweet 16 and I dread the possibility of depending on any of those three to make big shots in an NCAA tournament game.

* Jamie Dixon should play a couple of tough road games every year before the Big East starts. Florida State turned out to be a good road game (though I doubt it was planned to be) this year and Pitt needs to play games like that earlier in December to give the new guys who are getting time a familiarity with playing in a hostile environment.

Think we can shut down Harvey and Hazell and beat SH and then very glad to have Marquette and UConn at home. Still in the driver’s seat for a #1 seed, which looks appreciably better than a #2 seed this year.

Comment by hugh green 02.26.09 @ 6:03 pm

Hmm, I don’t know. Playing on the road is playing on the road. It is what it is. You can’t really make abject improvements on road play such as scheduling more road games or anything like that. I don’t think it’s any kind of systemic issue, nor one of confidence. BUT, I do think the issue is related to the team’s sense of hubris. Many of the road loses the last couple of years follow either a big win or a high ranking in the polls. It just seems really clear the program has trouble sometimes with its’ own success. There’s no one involved that has achieved this type of position- coaching staff included- and frankly it shows. It’s no slight on them, but clearly from year to year, pressure builds along with expectations.

Comment by SilverPanther in NYC 02.26.09 @ 8:25 pm

Good teams lose to lesser teams sometimes, it happens.

But in today’s world over media oversaturation of every little thing that happens, it gets totally blown out of proportion.

Comment by Jimbo Covert's my dad 02.26.09 @ 9:57 pm

hugh green – add Fields to that teacup list. Bilas was making a point of that in the UCONN game. Fields was 0 for 8 until he hit big at the end.

Comment by KeyboardKev 02.27.09 @ 7:44 am

JD can absolutely make systemic improvements with how Pitt does on the road in conference by battle-testing these kids a bit more before the league starts. I’m not talking about setting up a non-conf gauntlet of away games, I’m just talking about playing 2-3 tough foes at homecourt-advantage type arenas in December every year.

That way the first trip to Freedom Hall or the Carrier Dome won’t be something new.

Comment by hugh green 02.27.09 @ 8:58 am

We’re not losing these games because of our December scheduling. We had a good out of conference schedule this year. And we have three battle tested senior starters, plus Dejuan Blair played his best game AT Connecticut.

5-3 on the road in the Big East, with some close games, is not a systemic issue with this team. If they can push that road record to 6-3, with no home loses to boot, it’s not too shabby.

Comment by SilverPanther in NYC 02.27.09 @ 10:44 am

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